I understand there are still a lot of delegates left on the table for the Democratic nomination, and that Texas, Ohio and Pennsylvania are all leaning to Hillary Clinton right now, but I don’t see how Obama isn’t going to win this nomination at this point. He’s drawing crowds of 15,000 everywhere he goes, and she’s drawing 4,000. He’s making over a million dollars a day, mostly from small donors, while she’s still trying to pay herself back for the $5 million loan. Obama’s winning virtually every demographic, all across the country, including independents when those voters are given a choice of voting GOP or Dem. Hillary’s replacing key campaign staff, while Obama has the luxury of refusing her overtures for additional debates.
Is it over? No, not yet. An Edwards endorsement (which is starting to look suspiciously like a quid pro quo) could sway things. And if she does carry big wins in TX, PA and OH, that probably puts us on the path to fireworks at the convention. But could it be any clearer that the masses have spoken, and they have spoken loudly for Obama?
Sure, Obama could blow up. He could say a bunch of stupid things, or be revealed to have crooked business dealings, or have had dangerous liaisons with people not named Michelle Obama. But doesn’t it seem like we’re getting to the point where it’s his race to lose?
Certainly I’ll support her if Obama isn’t the nominee. Support her with time and money, no question. But if Hillary wins the nomination, there are going to be a lot of unhappy people leaving the Dem tent, some of whom were just starting to get comfortable inside it for the first time in their voting lives. And I know an awful lot of people, like me, would wonder what might have been.
But I don’t think that’s going to happen. New Hampshire was a long time ago.